TUESDAY PDB – China’s ‘Good Cop’ Approach, Russia Pushing for Concessions from NATO, UK Says Sending Troops ‘Not Likely’ to Defend Ukraine, Iran Conflict Looming in New Year, US Exploring ‘Israeli Option’ Against Iran? US Hypersonic Missile Failures Leaving China Ahead

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Today’s PDB includes a variety of critical national security issues.


China Threat

GOOD COP APPROACH- China would not fear confrontation with US – foreign minister. China would not fear confrontation with the United States but would welcome cooperation if it is mutually beneficial, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said on Monday.

Russia Threat

US and Britain help Ukraine prepare for potential Russian cyberassault. Russia has attacked Ukraine’s power grid in the past, and experts say Moscow might take similar steps as it masses troops along the border.

UK unlikely to send troops if Russia invades Ukraine, says defence secretary. It is highly unlikely that Britain or its allies will send troops to defend Ukraine if it is invaded by neighbouring Russia, the defence secretary, Ben Wallace, has said.

Russia presses for urgent US response on security guarantees. Russia said on Monday it urgently needed a response from the United States on its sweeping security demands and again warned of a possible Russian military response unless it saw political action to assuage its concerns.

Russia’s military strategy in Europe. In Episode 55 of the Aerospace Advantage Podcast, Russia’s Military Strategy in Europe, host John “Slick” Baum is joined by Justin Bronk and Samuel Cranny-Evans of the Royal United Services Institute and the Mitchell Institute’s own Heather Penney to dive into Russian strategy.

Iran Threat

Tensions rising between US and Iran; New Year’s seen as potential flashpoint. The Biden administration and U.S. military leaders are increasingly concerned about rising tensions with Iran, and they are looking at the new year as a potential flashpoint, according to two defense officials and two administration officials familiar with the matter.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard holds military drill amid tension. Iran’s paramilitary Revolutionary Guard staged a major military exercise across the country’s south on Monday amid heightened tensions over Tehran’s nuclear program, state TV reported. Read More

ISRAELI OPTION? Biden National Security adviser Jake Sullivan to visit Israel for Iran talks. U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan will visit Israel this week for detailed discussions with Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett on Iran’s nuclear program, a senior Biden administration official said on Monday.


FALLING BEHIND CHINA – Air Force hypersonic weapon runs into trouble after a third failed test. A recent booster flight test of the Air Force’s flagship hypersonic missile has failed for the third time, the service announced Dec. 20.

Homeland Security

Ready to serve: Ohio Army National Guard reports for duty at state’s hospitals. 1,050 Ohio Army National Guard troops begin a deployment Monday with no known end.

International Security

The civilian toll of America’s air wars. A trove of internal documents, combined with extensive reporting across the Middle East, reveals the tragic, disastrous failures of the U.S. military’s long-distance approach to warfare.

Biden’s Afghanistan Disaster

SAVING THE TALIBAN OR THE PEOPLE? More than 40 House Democrats urge Treasury Department to unfreeze Afghanistan’s bank reserves. In a letter to both Yellen and President Biden, the group of lawmakers said that failure to relax international restrictions on Afghanistan’s banking system risks creating “economic pain and humanitarian collapse,” as fears mount that a crumbling economy will spur a new refugee and hunger crisis.



Our Afghan Allies Still Need Help After Biden Retreat as Afghanistan Collapses – SITUATION IS DESPERATE

Please help us KEEP SAVING LIVES by supporting our ongoing Afghan Evacuation Effort for AT-RISK Afghans – ‘PLAN B’ – the ARC (Afghan Rescue Crew).

Our Afghan allies helped by this effort are fully vetted and proven to be at-risk.

GoFundMe Afghan Evacuation – Save Lives

Paul Crespo is the Managing Editor of American Defense News. A defense and national security expert, he served as a Marine Corps officer and as a military attaché with the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) at US embassies worldwide. Paul holds degrees from Georgetown, London, and Cambridge Universities. He is also CEO of SPECTRE Global Risk, a security advisory firm, and President of the Center for American Defense Studies, a national security think tank. - paulcrespo.substack.com - PAULCRESPO.COM

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Jon Adams
Jon Adams
7 months ago

The US war in Afghanistan was a disaster 20 years in the making.

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